Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 378.096424 429.991404 487.918869 557.648548 639.669629 733.522891 849.669344
2025-08-31 295.823400 361.917705 442.527178 549.152458 688.096193 865.263863 1111.923067
2025-09-07 254.474028 326.609472 419.920417 551.548198 735.844920 989.960610 1376.312908
2025-09-14 220.966232 294.141824 393.179591 540.108864 757.987564 1078.243799 1602.511057
2025-09-21 198.511136 272.605890 376.866323 538.505919 790.739358 1183.585694 1872.271811
2025-09-28 174.809448 246.048914 349.449373 515.558411 785.826267 1227.550599 2048.351817
2025-10-05 166.120561 240.051932 350.993343 536.239165 851.841822 1396.257034 2477.429761
2025-10-12 159.554134 236.297047 355.117982 560.950180 927.546559 1594.284845 3009.590724
2025-10-19 149.462653 225.905765 347.390817 564.461518 966.008813 1730.581740 3452.043725
2025-10-26 137.434405 211.235464 331.078489 550.823565 970.520249 1801.579745 3771.079961
2025-11-02 127.633984 199.307868 318.106694 541.400845 981.269602 1886.329274 4143.360335
2025-11-09 122.991429 195.522080 318.563229 556.467034 1042.134941 2087.229537 4856.352129
2025-11-16 115.662013 186.739928 309.776127 553.650923 1067.508281 2218.685735 5442.858255
2025-11-23 108.107171 176.987569 298.411092 544.581768 1078.546547 2320.312375 5985.189219
2025-11-30 102.889977 170.919158 293.160962 546.986902 1114.904910 2490.120619 6789.746705
2025-12-07 96.400875 162.053035 281.886106 535.658981 1118.284107 2577.866892 7371.758262
2025-12-14 91.692188 156.087511 275.598138 534.071934 1144.204332 2730.324365 8231.949950
2025-12-21 84.944891 145.871444 260.264157 511.349770 1115.791142 2729.160620 8550.830265
2025-12-28 83.528362 145.574897 264.386046 531.827521 1197.762645 3058.842040 10260.806550
2026-01-04 82.544757 146.013424 269.985701 556.293940 1294.398794 3458.395096 12481.108739
2026-01-11 79.527906 142.272388 266.699249 559.770347 1335.915030 3698.637039 14156.955834
2026-01-18 75.152845 135.566140 256.715953 546.267824 1328.670249 3779.028396 15134.624025
2026-01-25 71.467530 130.017259 248.782341 536.938290 1331.968665 3896.893543 16376.594574